South African skipper Graeme Smith has climbed the captaincy charts and his record makes for interesting reading:

Played 58, won 27 (46.55%), lost 17 (29.31%), drawn 14 (24.14%), tosses won 34 (58.62%).

So, when it comes to being a great tosser, the facts speak for themselves.

‘... the most successful tosser in Test cricket is Aussie Lindsay Hassett, with 18 wins out of 24 (75.0%), and so Smith still has room to improve...’


Smith has won the toss in 34 of the 58 Tests he has had as captain. This is a success rate of nearly 60%. Smith also has an above average ODI toss success rate with 64 out of 113 (52.4%).

As we know, there is a 50% chance of winning the toss, so, it is unlikely that Smith’s success rate is as a result of skill, but more likely, as with his 'magnetic personality' something to do with his natural ability as a tosser. It's likely that over time it will ‘regress to the mean’, i.e. get closer to 50%. But for the time being, the Proteas' captain is the undisputed Greatest Tosser of his era. Ricky Ponting (40.48%) and Michael Vaughan (44%) and Stephen Fleming (47%) aren't in the same flipping league.

From binomial distribution probability we can calculate that the chances of a captain in 50 Tests winning the toss between 20 and 30 times (i.e. five either side of the mean of 25) is 88.1%. So, Smith’s success rate while quite useful is still well within the bounds of expected probability.

Of players with 20 or more captaincies the most successful tosser in Test cricket is Aussie Lindsay Hassett, with 18 wins out of 24 (75.0%), and so Smith still has room to improve if he is aiming to become, as many believe, the all-time greatest tosser in cricket.

At the other end of the scale, England's Len Hutton won only seven of his 23 tosses (30.4%). Ponting has won only 17 of his 42 (40%) and, resigned to this poor performance, he has gained the reputation of not 'giving a toss.'

For the moment, it's all Smith, not a magnetic personality but the greatest tosser around, and the happy juggler is having the last laugh as he keeps on heading up the winning boards.