England are the reigning world champions - but will they be lifting the trophy this time?

Rugby is a team game. Sure, Jonny Wilkinson popped over the most important drop goal in rugby history since Joel Stransky’s in 1995, but Lawrence Dallaglio’s run off the back of a solid England scrum, and his fine pass to Jason Robinson, who sped-off to score, is the moment I remember most.

What a try! And how many of the English players besides Dallaglio and Robinson had some part in creating that magic moment, a moment that not only sent England on the way to winning the trophy, but saved the Rugby World Cup, too.

'What gives anyone the idea England have what it takes to defend their well-earned crown?'


Saved the Rugby World Cup? What could I be talking about? Well, just imagine if the hapless, yet most successful, Wallabies had won three out of a possible four Rugby World Cups. The tournament would be dead. It goes without saying that, for the sake of the tournament, as long as anyone except Australia wins, the result is a good one. Anyway, credit where credit is due. Good on you, England.

Unfortunately, England are most unlikely to feature as contenders to save the Rugby World Cup from the Wallabies in 2007. Besides thrashing Wales recently in a game I‘m not convinced the Welsh even contested, what gives anyone the idea England have what it takes to defend their well-earned crown?

Sebastien Chabal’s try to clinch the game for the French last week said it all. He is a tough cookie, sure, but he is not big enough, or that fast to be able to stand in tackles, pirouette out in the backline, and stride on to the try line like that. Even the All Blacks would not have conceded that try, and they’ve conceded many a soft one in the past.

No, I’m afraid England are unlikely to top Pool A. The Springboks should put them away without much fanfare, and continue to pretend that no one has noticed them attempting to fly under the radar. Samoa may give England a scare for a while as they did in the last World Cup, but the English are good enough to get past them. They will not get past the Wallabies in the quarter-final, though. So, if England do not somehow beat the Boks on the 14th in Saint Denis, it is all over.

Having said that, if by chance – and I think it is a small chance – England should beat South Africa, then everything looks remarkably different. Firstly, there is no collision with the Wallabies in the quarters, of course. And given that the Wallabies would have faced a torrid quarter against the Boks, if they should win, they will be sapped and possibly have some injury concerns.

England might have a chance in these circumstances. Even so, the final against whoever makes it would still loom. It would probably be either France or the All Blacks if England can topple the Boks in Pool A. All in all, a very tall order this time around. Not the canter to the final 2003 appeared to be. I simply do not expect England to make the semis.