Home > Raiders have No.1 NFL pick - but will it be JaMarcus Russell or Brady Quinn?
by Greg Varkonyi on 29 March 2007
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Only 31 days to go until the NFL draft and, much like last season, we have a consensus No.1 pick that would make perfect sense for the team making the selection -- the Oakland Raiders. Much like last year, Reggie Bush was a lock to be the Houston Texans’ No.1 pick.
This year, sensational quarterback JaMarcus Russell is all but guaranteed to go to the Raiders. The one glitch: Bush did not end up with the Texans, who instead opted infamously to anoint Mario Williams their first selection. Well, the Raiders are trying to play a game of cloak and dagger on just how undecided they are on who their top selection is going to be. It is a routine that has been played by many clubs, but after last year’s much-publicised 'Texans blunder', this thing is a moot point, as we all know the Raiders do not want to become the team that made The Mistake a second time. And it is too bad, really, since three of the prospects (including Russell) are all worthy of a first pick. Whilst last season you had Bush, and maybe quarter-back Vince Young as worthy toppicks (and no, Mario Williams, whilst highly touted, was never even considered that), each of this year’s trio is making a strong case for his worthiness of the first pick. First off you have Russell, the super-phenom quarterback. The guy with the never-before-seen arm strength, with the athleticism of a running back, and with the throw accuracy that makes scouts drool. Russell has NFL quarterback written all over him. Even if he only fulfills some of the promise that he is showing, he should have quite a productive career in the league. His potential is unlimited compared to any other prospect at this point. You then have Brady Quinn. He is the well-schooled quarterback. He knows almost every trick of the trade (that’s what working with Notre Dame coach Charlie Weiss will get you), he is a true leader, and he has all the physical tools necessary to make the play that counts. Quinn has been called by many scouts as the most intelligent QB they have met, but whether this relates into victories in the league, we shall see.
So why is he a third-fourth projected pick on most mock drafts? The answer is easy; neither the Raiders nor the Lions are in need of another receiver, and neither one is sold that Johnson will become a huge game-changing performer. Barring a trade, Johnson will likely be 'only' a third or fourth pick. After the trio there’s a slew of defensive players and linemen who hope to get into the argument. Yet with each of them comes a 'buyers beware' warning. Defensive end Gaines Adams and defensive tackle Amobi Okoye and cornerback Leon Hall might be picked anywhere amongst the top 10 considering what the picking team’s most urgent need might be. Yet with each there is a sizeable question which does not allow them to be considered for the top three.
Okoye is a reach for a pick this high, but his upside might tempt a team to pick him up here. Adams is a great defender but the main knock on him is the abundance of top DE picks that turned into busts. Many scouts believe Hall has Pro Bowl written all over him; the only problem is he will not be an instant impact for the team picking him. Offensive tackle Joe Thomas might, however, sneak into the Top 3 and force one of the Russell-Quinn-Johnson trio to fall. Thomas is a great lineman who could instantly help a team’s ground game. Cleveland is picking third and they might believe they have the marquee pieces in places with Kellen Winslow, Charlie Frye and Braylon Edwards, as well as free agent pick-up Jamal Lewis.
For them the top trio means work-in-progress, whilst Thomas would mean instant impact. Watch this third pick carefully, since if the Browns get to select Quinn or Russell, it might be a clear message towards coach Romeo Crennel that he gets no pressure to win now, whereas a selection of Thomas would certainly mean that he either shows results, or the Browns will have a new head coach at this time next year.
Comments (6)
by Trinity on March 30, 2007
One game can change a lot in the NFL. Think about. If Bradt Quinn would have won the sugar bowl he would be the sure first pick, no questions asked. He was the first projected pick before he and JaMarcus Russell even met in the bowl game. Then, there is Troy Smith. He lead Ohio State to the Championship Bowl without losing a single game. That is pretty impressive. But becuase the team lost, Troy Smith inherits the blame. Ted Ginn Jr. is still a first rounder, no questions about his durability, but Troy Smith dropped to the secnond or even the third round in most mock drafts. Imagine that Ohio State won the Chanpionship Bowl, hw would be considered as one of the drafts best quarterbacts with Russell and Quinn. It's just wierd how one game can make a differenve for A SINGLE PLAYER.
by Greg Varkonyi on March 30, 2007
I'm also not a big fan of the one game to ruin all theory, yet you have to say that Vince Young wasn't even in the top 5 last year before his one big game. Heck, before that game it was a no brainer that Leinart would be the first QB taken. Yet I do find some faults in your comment. Troy Smith had some major questions on how he'd fit the pro game even before his bowl loss. Scouts are not exactly in love with his mechanics and like any 6-1 QB, his size is being brought up against him. I saw him in a November Mock draft featured as a late first early second rounder, the bowl game only caused him to slip from there. Yet he still is one of the top 5 QBs in the draft.
by VIkram on April 01, 2007
I think dwayne's stock fell at the SC pro day. He posted only a 4.62 in his 40 yard dash. It is terrible when u think that olsen posted a 4.45..It was a shame coz DJ has the hands of a Hall of Fame wide receiver. MY view. 1- Jamarcus Russell 2- Calvin Johnson 3- Joe Thomas
by Mark on April 02, 2007
Troy Smith was never going to be a first round draft choice, even if Ohio State one the BCS Championship game. He lacks sufficient height, he's only around 6 foot 1 inches tall, and was always going to slip in drafts for that reason. Chris Leak the Florida State QB that did win the BCS Championship game with the Gators isn't close to being called a first round draft choice either, he is also too small at 5 feet 11 inches tall, so your logic is flawed. Height is a major factor when drafting QB's, and at 6 foot 6, Russell will have the best shot at getting paid on draft day.
by Dwayne Jarrett on April 02, 2007
Come on! You know me! I'm the receiver with the best hands, and while I might have been a tad slow at the combine, I can always blame it on a misterious foot injury or something like that. I still was the most sure handed receiver there!
by Greg Varkonyi on April 18, 2007
Word is the Lions want to move down to pick him... Well good luck, there ain't many teams that are willing to package multiple picks to move higher up.
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