Home > NFL crunch time – the wild rush for wildcard spots
by Greg Varkonyi on 12 December 2007
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We all know the New England Patriots are certainly getting home field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, Seattle Seahawks and Indianapolis Colts have already clinched a playoff spot. And while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Diego Chargers still have a mathematical chance of being overhauled at the top of their respective divisions, it would take a minor miracle for that to happen. The only divisional title still open for debate is the AFC North’s crown. The Pittsburgh Steelers are up by one win ahead the Cleveland Browns, but once you examine both team’s divisional record (Pittsburgh is at 5-0) it really seems highly unlikely that coach Romeo Crenel’s Cleveland boys would run the table and claim top spot. All that is left then for the other teams is to hope for one of the four wildcard spots still up for grabs. Let’s examine then who has a shot at getting there in each conference: ‘Even if the the Giants lose all three it would take a perfect three weeks from one of the teams with a 6-7 record – highly unlikely at best.’NFC: In the driving seat: New York Giants (9-4). Remaining games: Washington Redskins, at Buffalo Bills, New England Patriots They’ll make the playoffs if . . . they can muster one more win in their remaining three games. That’s really all it takes for them. Look at the NFC standings, Tampa is probably your fourth division winner and the only team that can still get to 10 wins is the Minnesota Vikings. Nobody else has even got a mathematical chance of making it. Even if the Giants lose all three it would take a perfect three weeks from one of the teams with a 6-7 record – highly unlikely at best. Likelihood of making the playoffs: 95%
Favorite to get there: Minnesota Vikings (7-6) - Remaining games: Chicago Bears, Washington Redskins, at Denver Broncos They’ll make the playoffs if . . . they continue to play at the level they have recently. At the moment Minnesota is one of the top teams in the NFC thanks to their great running game, featuring Adrian Peterson and the efficient production from much criticized QB Tarvaris Jackson. They probably need to win two more games to be guaranteed a playoff spot, and it certainly is doable with this remaining schedule. These are all good opponents, but they are all beatable for Minnesota. Even if they go 1-2 they have a shot at getting there, but I really feel an 8-8 record will not be enough for the NFC wildcard spot this year. Likelihood of making the playoffs: 60% Still hoping: New Orleans Saints (6-7). Remaining games: Arizona Cardinals, Philadelphia Eagles, at Chicago Bears They’ll make the playoffs if . . . They go 3-0 and Minnesota stumble badly. Looking at the schedule they are capable of going 3-0 in their remaining games. They have two at home before traveling to Soldier Field for probably the toughest of the three games. The Saints are not out of the division title race either, but they would need Tampa to lose against the Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, and the San Francisco 49ers, and that scenario is even more unlikely than Minnesota going 1-2 in the next three weeks. Likelihood of making the playoffs: 30%
Outsiders: Detroit Lions (6-7). Remaining games: at San Diego Chargers, Kansas City Chiefs, Green Bay Packers.
No hopers 1: Washington Redskins (6-7). Remaining games: at New York, at Minnesota, Dallas They’ll make the playoffs if . . . they win, win, win. The Skins have the privilege of traveling to both top rivals for the wildcard spots. A win in those games counts double as they also force a setback on a top rival. Washington will definitely be a national darling due to the Sean Taylor tragedy, and it would be a great story if they did manage to get to the playoffs. I just do not think this team is good enough to win all three remaining games. Likelihood of making the playoffs: 10%
No hopers 2: Arizona Cardinals (6-7). Remaining games: at New Orleans, Atlanta, St. Louis Rams
AFC: In the driving seat: Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4). Remaining games: at Pittsburgh Steelers, Oakland Raiders, at Houston Texans They’ll make the playoffs if ... they win two out of three. That would seal it for good. One win might be enough, but that would be playing with fire, as both Tennessee and Buffalo are capable of getting to 10 wins. Jacksonville, at 9-4, is not as sure a pick as New York is in the NFC at the same record, and that speaks volumes about the strength of the conference. Likelihood of making the playoffs: 80% Favorite to get there: Cleveland Browns (8-5). Remaining Games: Buffalo Bills, at Cincinnati Bengals, San Francisco 49ers
Still hoping: Buffalo Bills (7-6). Remaining games: at Cleveland, New York Giants, at PhiladelphiaThey’ll make the playoffs if ... they go 3-0 and Cleveland and/or Jacksonville stumble down the line. The Bills finally have a QB who gives them a chance to win. I loved JP Losman’s talent, but obviously he is way too turnover prone. Trent Edwards is making fewer mistakes, the D is starting to show signs of life, and the Bills actually look like they might have a case for a playoff berth. Too bad that previous woes of this season have them in a rut too deep to realistically climb out of. They need the help of either the Browns or the Jags to get there. Likelihood of making the playoffs: 20%
No hopers 3: Tennessee Titans (7-6). Remaining games: at Kansas City, New York Jets, at Indianapolis Colts
No hopers 4: Houston Texans (6-7). Remaining games: Denver Broncos, at Indianapolis, Jacksonville They’ll make the playoffs if ... they win three and everyone above them loses. They really only have a slim chance of making the post-season, but the fact that we can still include the Texans in playoff talk this late into the season shows you just how far this franchise has come in one season. Their meeting with the Broncos this weekend determines who lives to dream another day, as the loser will be out of the playoff hunt for sure. The game will be played in Texas, so we might just have another week of playoff chatter in Houston. Likelihood of making the playoffs: 5%
No hopers 5: Denver Broncos (6-7). Remaining games: at Houston, at San Diego, Minnesota They’ll make the playoffs if ... same as Houston. Although they do have the extra opportunity to win their division if they win three and San Diego loses three. Denver’s been an up and down team all season and I expect the same in the next three weeks. They were brilliant against Kansas City this past weekend, but just before that they were awful in a loss to Oakland. Jay Cutler is going to be a very good QB, and the Broncos seem to have the pieces – it just does not fit all together.
Comments (2)
by Douglas Strother on December 12, 2007
My favorite team are the Redskins, and while I would love for them to make it, it's not happening. Even before the Sean Taylor tragedy, they were too inconsistent, and managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory on several occasions. They also beat teams they shouldn't have, and lose to teams they should beat. It's the Vikings and Giants in the NFC (Wildcards), and the Jaguars and Browns in the AFC. It's pretty obvious.
by Douglas Strother on December 31, 2007
I should never have doubted my team from making the playoffs. Where did this Todd Collins come from? He's the answer for the entire playoffs, not Campbell. Let the young guy rest and learn from a veteran.
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