Home > Tennis > Dark-horse Davydenko to ride on to French Open semis with Federer, Djokovic and Nadal
by Ed McGrogan on 06 June 2007
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Today was an important day for me. I made the decision to watch the men's semi-finals at the French Open in full, without unnecessary interruption – in other words, I will not be going to work on Friday. Unfortunately, I can’t say the same about the quarter-finals, which take place during the next two days. Because of that, now seems about the right time for some picks for these four matches. I’ve shied away from making selections on a large scale – meaning at least eight matches or more – for some time now. I used to enjoy the handicapping aspect of it, and seeing how I stacked up when the results came in. But I now think of those forecasts as blind luck and tiresome.
However, with only eight players remaining in the draw, I have a chance to see their terre battue games for some time. Having said that, here are four reasons you should be staying indoors to watch tennis if you don’t have to work the next few days: (1) Roger Federer v (9) Tommy Robredo They’ve already played in a Grand Slam this year. It was a pretty rudimentary victory for Federer, but going beyond the scope of the match in Melbourne, you can clearly see an utter dominance that is tilted towards the Swiss. Of course, Federer has this edge over nearly everyone on tour, but when you consider that he’s only dropped one out of 17 sets against Robredo, you get a sense of the huge edge in Roger’s favour. In fact, looking at the scores, the easiest victories for Federer have come on clay, when the two played in Hamburg (2005) and in Vienna (2002). I expect much the same this time around, as Federer has looked untouchable so far in Paris. Prediction: Federer in three sets.(4) Nikolay Davydenko v (19) Guillermo Canas When prognosticators started to pinpoint why Federer lost to Canas in consecutive tournaments earlier in the year, the reason that seemed to catch on the most was that Canas kept absolutely everything in play. The Argentinian’s tenacious defence and ground strokes eventually wore Federer out, or caused him to hit key shots awry, in these battles of attrition. Now Canas, who has the chance to likely play Federer again if he can win, will get to see what it was like to be Federer back in Indian Wells and Miami. Davydenko’s game has many of the same attributes as Canas’s, and it’s been quite effective on the clay of Roland Garros. Without a doubt, Canas would love to get one more shot at Federer, especially at the French Open. Remember all that chatter about players betting on Canas being ranked in time for this Grand Slam? It’s evident that Guillermo has had his sights set on Paris for some time. But Davydenko also wants glory – and I think more so this year than in the past. A high ranking is nice, but a Grand Slam trophy would be even nicer. I hope I’m wrong on this, but I like Davydenko in this one – not because of the new clothing line, but because of a yell of excitement after he took out David Nalbandian in the fourth round. Prediction: Davydenko in four sets.
*** For more tennis coverage, go to www.gasquetandracquet.com ***
Comments (1)
by Brian Lomax on June 06, 2007
Ed - nice analysis on the quarterfinal matches. I was disappointed in Canas' performance versus Davydenko today. I truly thought that would be a closer match.
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