Home > Tennis > Roger Federer looks nailed on for the US Open, but Maria Sharapova faces a battle
by Louise McNamara on 07 August 2007
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OK, it's obvious to everyone that modern day women's tennis is a lot more 'open' than the men's game. The women's side may lack the equivalent a Roger Federer or a Rafael Nadal, but maybe this is a good thing.
This means that as we head into the final Grand Slam of the year, we are more than likely going to witness a surprise winner from the ladies side, as opposed to the predictable winner from the mens. As we take a glance at the top 20 best female players, sevenare former Grand Slam champions. So already we have seven players capable of winning the tournament. They are joined, realistically, by seven or eight others capable of springing a surprise.
This is in comparison to the men's side, where we have three former Grand Slam champions in the top 20, although it is only fair to acknowledge that both Lleyton Hewitt and Marat Safin are ranked 21 and 22 respectively. And while seven or eight others have a realistic chance, there is one slight problem - the man by the name of Roger Federer.
Let's look a little deeper. Former Grand Slam champions on the women's side are Justine Henin, current US champions Maria Sharapova, Svetlana Kuznetsova, Amelie Mauresmo, Venus and Serena Williams and last, but certainly not least, Martina Hingis. Six of these women have won the US Open. The potential outside champions would include youngsters such as Ana Ivanovic, Anna Chakvetadze and Nicole Vaidisova - but also joining the rank would be Jelena Jankovic, Marion Bartoli, Elena Dementieva and possibly Daniela Hantuchova. Any of these women, when playing their best, have the chance of winning this title.
On the men's side we have Federer, Nadal and Andy Roddick. OK, I am going to include both Hewitt and Safin, just to make it a little more interesting. Four out of these five are former US Open champions. Federer has clearly dominated the game over the past five years, his only competition coming from Nadal. But let's remind ourselves of the 2005 semi-finals in Australia when Marat Safin came from match points down to beat Federer. Other potential upsets could be caused by Novak Djokovic, Richard Gasquet, Andy Murray and possibly a few others. But being realistic I think there are only two players out there who can beat Federer in a Grand Slam and they are Nadal and a mentally in-form Safin.
So looking for the favourites? It's really hard to look past Federer for the men's title, although if Nadal puts his mind to it I believe he has what it takes to take down the big man. Depending on which Marat turns up, a mentally indestructible Safin has the game to beat Federer. I don't think there is another complete player who has a weapon strong enough to cause Federer any harm.
The women's is much more difficult to pick. We have learned at this stage that we cannot dismiss the William sisters, although Venus's recent lost to Chakvetadze in San Diego, and Serena's lack of match play since Wimbledon are built-in factors. Despite the controversy that constantly surrounds them, they remain possibly two of the greatest players who have ever graced the courts.
Justine Henin is my pick for the title. She ran out of steam against Bartoli at Wimbledon, but to me has everything a player needs to win. Of course, it would be unfair to completely dismiss defending champion and world No 2 Maria Sharapova who, despite having a bad year by her standards, remains one of the most consistent players on tour. Having said this, any of the other players that I mentioned earlier could cause problems to any of these players.
Grand Slam time is always an exciting time. But even with all our analysis and predictions it is all about who plays the best game on the day.I think there is one thing that will be guaranteed, we can expect a fortnight of great tennis!
Comments (11)
by Aasim Shaffi on August 07, 2007
Venus is the best in-form player right now. Venus played Wimbledon, Fed Cup, two weeks of WTT and then San Diego, she said she was maxed out, which caused difficulties in her QF match against Anna Chakvetadze. Yes, she did over do it. Now she has a 1 week break noone can challenge her, apart from Serena and Justine. Maria Sharapova is simply not good enough for the likes of Venus Williams.
by yorthae on August 07, 2007
i seriousy doubt that either mauresmo or bartoli can win the u.s. open. although mauresmo is my favourite player on the tour, the sad truth is that she is not in good form and she hasn't had a single match under her belt since wimbledon. and amelie has never been the one to play spectacularly after long breaks (like serena). and bartoli? come on people, she had one good run on the grand slam title... that alone doesn't make her a contender of the highest level...
by matt on August 07, 2007
why do people keep going on about safin being a threat to federer? the guy has only won twice in a heavy one-sided h2head!!!
by vllockhart on August 07, 2007
Either Venus or Serena will win the Open. Sharapova's game can be beaten with any variety. Henin is great, but no match for Venus or Serena on a grand slam run.
by Louise on August 07, 2007
I still think Henin is the best player in the world. Serena didn't have to face her at Australia because she didn't play and Henin beat her at both the French Open and Wimbledon. I think that Serena is a better player than Venus and Henin has exactally what it takes to beat both. She doesn't fear them. I agree that Sharapova can be beaten easily but Venus Serena and Justine, but she is a champion and can't be dismissed...Oh yeah, and about Safin, anyone who has seen him play at his best (which i'll agree doesn't happen often), know that he can beat ANYBODY when he plays at that level
by miller on August 07, 2007
...hoping for Safin's come back. He can do it. Kinda miss excitement in tennis recently.
by Mia on August 08, 2007
I agree. He can make Roger work harder for it, but H2H at 7-2 invariably gives Roger the edge.
by Bernard on August 08, 2007
i think the inform justine will be the one to beat in the Open ... she has the experience and obviously the game and has beaten all of the top players ... the williams will always be a contender ... i would love to see marat with at least one more US open title ....
by sean on August 10, 2007
henin probably will not win this year, she will be beaten along the way again. mauresmo probably will skip the tournament. jankovic is my pick as she should have won last year (lost the plot in semi even though was winning) and if she gets past henin for the 1st time ever she could do anything, after all she is the only person to have beaten both williams this year. for me the us open is WIDE open for women. i don't think nadal will get very far this year again, he has had alot of close matches recently. Safin? his sister is more likely to do well.
by Martin on August 11, 2007
Federer's biggest rivals for the US Open title include Djokovic, Nadal, Gasquet, Roddick and a fully fit Andy Murray. Djokovic beating Roddick in Montreal shows the youngster is peaking just in time for the final Slam of the year.
by Filip Pol on March 11, 2008
I agree with you completly that womens tennis is better in the way that its more open who will win a tournament. It makes much more fun to watch the matches, and to specutalate who to win, as you have.
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