Home > Tennis > Roger Federer still has the edge over Rafael Nadal - but not for long!
by Iestyn Stevens on 18 July 2008
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After the greatest ever tennis match between Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer at Wimbledon this year, some are now saying that Nadal is a better all-round player than Federer.
That’s really a step too far. He is a great player and fully deserves praise for his amazing improvements on grass since last year, but he still needs to prove himself on hard courts to become a great all-rounder.
He is, without doubt, the best clay-court player on the tour, and he’s now one of the best on grass, but there are more hard court tournaments than any other surface, and Nadal has only won one hard court tournament since March 2006 when he defeated Novak Djokovic in straight sets in Indian Wells in March 2007. This is the reason why he’s never been able to challenge Federer’s No.1 spot despite being No.2 in the world for three years.
If Nadal fails to have a good US Open Series this year, he could have to wait another year to finally become No.1 in the world. Federer has dominated in the US in recent years, and Nadal has never been beyond the quarter-finals on the DecoTurf surface at the US Open at Flushing Meadows. The surfact is famed for its reduced friction and low bounce, which doesn’t suit Nadal’s heavy top-spin forehands that form the basis of his game.
Nadal has time on his side though, and I feel he will grow to become the best all-rounder of his generation. Despite there being just five years' age difference between them, Federer is of a different era. Just as he has dominated much of the last four or five years at the top, so Nadal will do the same once Federer has gone.
Nadal is the Andre Agassi of the current era, the man capable of beating the best in the world on his day but not quite able to beat him enough to take his place as the best. If Nadal can become No.1 years before Federer retires, it will be good for men’s tennis. Nadal will continue to improve and force Federer to up his own efforts as well, but it will show to those who continue to doubt him that he can be the best in the world while Federer is still around.
I think even Federer himself will admit that his chances of ever dominating on clay or winning a French Open are slim. I don’t think he’ll ever have the game to defeat Nadal at Roland Garros, which means someone else will have to do that for him; that’s his only hope.
Other Tennis players of Nadal’s era - the likes of Andy Murray, Novak Djokovic, Richard Gasquet and Gael Monfis - will find themselves minor players in another period of dominance on the ATP Tour, fighting to get as close to Nadal as possible, but never quite getting close enough.
As it stands, when Federer starts to fade away, Nadal assumes No.1 with Djokovic taking No.2 in the world, with the rankings potentially staying like that for a number of years until Nadal’s decline begins and someone new comes to challenge.
The biggest psychological boost to Nadal is if he can overtake Federer in the next 12 months. If he can do that his edge over Federer will be greater and he could go on to dominate. While both are at their best it’s easy to imagine the next three finals at Roland Garros and Wimbledon involving them, while Federer will continue to have the upper hand on the hard courts if Nadal doesn’t flatten his forehand. He’s not there yet, but it’s almost his time, and Nadal WILL become a better all-round player than Federer.
Comments (2)
by Questions on July 24, 2008
Forgive me for posting this here as well as below another recent article... Nadal's fighting spirit has been clear to see for anyone who looked with open eyes, at least since as far back as 2004 or 2005. And he has much fewer points to defend in the rest of 2008 than Federer. Federer, though, has a single massive problem... or opportunity. Since at least as far back as Federer’s back-to-back losses to Canas in March 2007 it has been progressively more clear that when Federer plays a match where he is not winning easily he does not tend to dig in ALL THE WAY, to fight the whole time with every bit of fighting spirit he could raise in himself, to get down from the Elysian Fields and really fight whichever man is across the net, and leave everything on the court, win or lose. It’s true he didn’t really have to in 2004 - 2006. We did see a lot more of that fighting spirit in the last three sets at the Wimbledon final three weeks ago. But we are not seeing it consistently enough in other matches. I would have loved to see it at the French Open, even and especially when it was becoming clear that he was going to lose. Why not lose while fighting the bravest fight, ripping your heart out, snatch all the points you can? Why not win everyone’s heart not only with your abilities when things go your way but also with your dedication and fight regardless of whether you are winning? These tournaments are about sport at the highest level of competition, so give us sport. I truly believe that Federer will not have the kind of second half of a career that we are hoping and expecting from him. NOT UNLESS he changes radically and brings that kind of fighting on a regular basis, to every match where he is not winning easily. Such as last night, and a growing list of other matches. I’m sorry to say it but I have yet to see evidence that he really wants to become that kind of fighter.
By 'last night' I was referring to his loss to Giles Simon at the Rogers Cup in Toronto. That loss was well beyond the challenge of the first match played in a tournament, beyond coming back from a painful loss (Wimbledon),... I've seen him lose this way a number of times now and the bottom line is not who he is playing, whether he has a cold, whether the balls are different, but the stuff I wrote in the other post a few minutes ago. Losing some matches: no problem. Losing them the way Federer tends to lose them: that's another thing.
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